Thursday 20 November 2014

Four Nations leads the way to future success for Rugby League in 2015

It has been a hugely impressive Four Nations tournament. Six out of the seven matches were very competitive from the beginning to end and before the tournament no one would have predicted that. An average of 40 points scored per match and 7 tries per match made for a very entertaining and pulsating tournament. New Zealand throughly deserved their victory and despite the notable absentees I do not think the tournament suffered too much.  I honestly feel that there were plenty of positives to take from the tournament.

Firstly, the performance of the Samoan team was incredible and I just hope the momentum can be maintained and Australia/New Zealand do not poach their best players. Along with the other Pacific Island nations they need regular International matches to improve and grow the game. There is a fantastic opportunity for Rugby League in the region to really stamp its authority and make itself the game. Rugby Union is not particular strong and there is no doubt that the players are more suited to Rugby League. It is now up to the authorities to create clear pathways and structure for these nations so that they can all develop and close the gap on the top 3. There is no doubt the quality of players that come from the Islands and no reason why these nations can not be a major force in International Rugby League.  I know the NRL have launched their Pacific Islands Strategy and I really hope that this is a success. 

Secondly, I am very happy that New Zealand won the final. They are a quality side who has improved massively over the past 10 years having now won 4 major International tournaments in that time. Also given the fact that Australia did not have a full strength side it would have been awful for the game had they won the tournament. Their interest in the International game would certainly have suffered further and led to further ridicule of its state.  At least now Australia know they need to be at full strength to win international tournaments - something that has not been the case in the past. 

A negative for me was the performance of the England team. Yet again they played the role of the 'nearly men'. It was incredibly frustrating for fans to again see opportunities missed. The loss of Sam Burgess was huge but whether his presence would have changed matters we will never know. For me Steve McNamara is a problem and should be replaced. He is the Steve McClaren of Rugby League. We do have some terrific players like James Graham however other 'stars' like Sam Tomkins were disappointing. I was looking for an improvement in his game after a year in the NRL but I did not see one.  He looks far too light and still vulnerable under the high ball. I do still live in hope that one year I will see England win a major International tournament. 

Another sad sight was some of the crowds however I am aware that some of the matches were played in 'non Rugby League areas' and so it is understandable. Although having said that an average gate of 20,000 per game is 'good' for Rugby League. Hopefully this will also improve in the years to come specifically looking at the 2017 Rugby League World Cup. Also the news of a second New Zealand side possibly joining the NRL in 2018 is positive and will spread the game outside of Auckland. 

Going forward I am hoping that the new International calendar from 2018 will be announced soon. This 12 year calendar will hopefully provide a clear structure and schedule that will benefit all nations so we do not find ourselves in a situation where nations go years without a match. This is totally unacceptable and I am praying this will soon be a thing of the past. 

Next year New Zealand are touring England and this is fantastic news. Hopefully we will see three awesome test matches in front of full houses. The sooner the dates and venues are announced the better. I hope they do it early and really market it. The Rugby Union World Cup will be on a similar time so they will need to work overtime to get it noticed nationally. I have little faith they will but one does live in hope. I know the Rugby Union World Cup will be everywhere and more than likely just to rub it in the likes of Kyle Eastmond and Sam Burgess will be poster boys. However the Rugby Union World Cup final is on the 31st of October. Now hopefully the League tests can be scheduled to go into early November. The Super league Grand Final is on October the 10th so at least two/three weeks off before Internationals will mean they should not face direct competition from the Union. 

With regards to other off-season internationals for the emerging nations I am not aware of ANY that are currently scheduled.  This cannot stay this way. 

For example - My idea: 

 -       Scotland should be playing Samoa in a three match series

 -       France should be playing Fiji in a three match test series

 -       Ireland should be playing Tonga in a three match test series 

 -       Wales should be playing Papau New Guinea in a three match test series

and possibly Italy should be playing the Cook Islands in a three match series.

Also they need to think outside the box. I would advocate having Australia go to emerging Canada/USA to help drive interest, similar to New Zealand in the Rugby Union earlier this year going to the USA.  They want a year off - fine - but make them do something positive. Having recently read of Canadian ambitions they would surely welcome such a visit. Also it would be a nice build up for the 2017 World Cup for both USA and Canada who hope to qualify. Just an idea but one that people should be talking about.  

Now ideally the 3 match test series would take place in the European nations however I would not mind them going to Pacific Islands if they are able to accommodate them. 

This I think would be a great off-season International schedule. All of these sides need regular international matches and by playing their southern hemisphere counterparts. I am sure it would make for great viewing. A three match test series could also gather media attention and will have a greater impact than a one off test match. Get the venues right and the ticket prices right and hopefully we can get some very exciting matches played in front of full houses. 

Samoa would have the chance to maintain momentum and to 'go on tour' which is an experience that all ex-internationals be them English, Australian or a New Zealander enjoy. I really think this is a culture that should be endorsed. We saw how good it was in local communities when these sides arrived at the Rugby League World Cup last year.  While there they can visit schools, local clubs etc and help spread the game in Scotland. All of the sides could easily do this in those nations. This would also get media attention. 

Also for Scotland they face a Four Nations in 2016 and need matches and who better to play than Samoa. A side that have just performed so well in the 2014 Four Nations. It also helps to generate local interest a year out from the tournament and gives them a chance to test venues and attract new fans. Scotland will probably be out of the Rugby Union World Cup by then and as long as the tickets are marketed properly and reasonably priced people will come. There is also a real chance for coverage on the Scottish BBC channels. Avenues I hope would be explored.  Honestly this tour would be a win-win for all concerned.

It is a great dream of mine that this will happen despite having little hope it will happen. It is a fantastic chance that can not be allowed to pass. All of the nations will benefit hugely.   

I am also an advocate of a mid-season international break where home nations can play each other. This would need to be worked into the already full schedule but I feel given the restructuring of the League this is a possibility.  

I am positive looking forward for the game in 2015 and beyond. There is no doubt it faces major challenges but for probably the first time in my life the game is going forward. The right questions are being asked and ideas are being offered that will help the game both domestically and internationally. Losing the likes of Sam Burgess, Sonny Bill Williams and Jarred Hayne is tough for the game but the reaction is the key now and I feel that the game is getting stronger every year - maybe not at the rate I would hope but it is improving. Hearing of 7,000 people watching Canada play the USA in Canada is positive for the game. I just hope that countries like Canada who are clearly making huge progress and are very ambitious are helped. I also recently read of their ambition for having a side in Championship 1. Without doubt there is a huge market in that region. It should be explored to the max which for me brings in another issue of TV coverage of NRL / State of Origin and Super League being given to emerging nations to help drive support. Just another idea that needs to be addressed. I want the State of Origin series to be accessible all over the world. What better series to introduce a new audience to then that?  Also having South Africa, a Rugby Union dominated country, interested in hosted a World Cup is great. Their bid came completely out of left-field but should be welcomed. In the long term I would love to see it. Maybe in 2025/2029. The plan should be to award it 8 years in advance so that a serious 8 year strategy can be put into place. I also believe that the revival of GB Lions will come and that will only be positive for the game.  So there is plenty to be positive about despite many in Rugby League only ever wanting to be negative about the future. 

Personally I am going into the new domestic season looking forward to the new league structure and the expanded World Club Series. Just now hoping for an announcement of the post-season Internationals.....but will it come?


Wednesday 3 September 2014

Best And Worst Transfers Of The Summer

As the window firmly slammed shut last night fans can now sit back and look at the squad their managers have assembled over the summer months and decide if it was a good window or not and whether they are now looking forward to the rest of the season. As a Newcastle fan I must say I am apprehensive to say they least and am very unsure as to the season that is about to unfold for my team.

Although in this piece I have picked out some of the notable transfers that I believe will hits and misses.

Hits

1. Diego Costa 

Now their is absolutely no doubt in my mind that Jose Mourinho and Chelsea have had the best summer window. Diego Costa is a wonderful signing and at only £32 million, given the market, I think they have got extremely good value. I am a massive fan of this player having watched him a lot last season at Atletico Madrid. He is big, powerful and a clinical finisher - essentially everything Fernando Torres was not in the last few seasons. He is going to be a nightmare to handle for all other Premier League teams this season and fully expect him to fire Chelsea to the title.

The only man I can see preventing him winning the Golden boot is Sergio Aguero.


2. Alexis Sanchez 

Ever since I saw this man take England apart at Wembley I have been a huge fan. I must admit when I saw him at Barcelona a few years ago I could not stand his constant diving however having seen him lately this has hugely reduced. Unlike Mesut Ozil this man is built for the job. He looks physically capable of withstanding the physicality of a full Premier League season. Add to this his magnificence ability and goalscoring prowess and you have a terrific signing. I am going to go out on a limb and say he is the best signing Arsenal have made for over 10 years. This is big claim and may make me look stupid in time but I honestly believe it.

Personally I fear for Arsenal this season however with this man in the team I think he will act as Suarez did for Liverpool last season. He will not be enough to win Arsenal the league but he will get them a top four finish.

3. Enner Valancia 

Again similar to Sanchez, Valancia looks a player who has the physical ability to cope in the Premier League. I am personally looking forward to seeing him in the league. He has pace, power and is both strong in the air and on the ground. He looked very strong in the World Cup and I know they say you should never buy a player of the back of a good World Cup however I do think in this case West Ham were right to so.

I think he will be a crucial player for West Ham this season and will play a major part in keeping them in the division.


4. Angel Di Maria 

Another world class arrival to the Premier League. Is he the calibre of a Bale or Ronaldo? No. But he will certainty bring an obvious improvement to Manchester United. He has proved over a number of years just how good he is and can see him adapting well to the Premier League. He will get a very prominent role in the Manchester United side and I am expecting him to contribute plenty to the side in the form of both goals and assists.

He looks similar to Mesut Ozil is statue however having seen him play I am sure he will relish the challenge of the increased physically whilst his game will also benefit from the increase in pace unlike Ozil.

He will play a major role in getting Manchester United in the top four.

5. Siem De Jong

This one is maybe more in hope then anything else. I am very hopeful that De Jong can be a sort of Dennis Bergkamp style player for Newcastle. A player of real brain and thought who will add quality to the side. Hopefully he can strike up a good partnership with one of the forwards and lead Newcastle to having a good season.

Although his injury record does worry me.

Other notable mentions:

Cesc Fabregas - Was a hit first time round and see no reason why he will not be again.
Gylfi Sigurdsson - Will benefit hugely from regular football again. One for the Fantasy Football team for sure


Misses 

1. Mario Balotelli

Personally I have absolutely no idea why Brendan Rodgers has signed this man. He is a massive gamble and at £16 million, an expensive one at that. I can foresee him only having a negative impact this season on the team. For all Suarez's misdemeanours he was a clinical finisher with a fantastic work rate. Balotelli brings neither of these on-field traits but plenty of problems off-field. The board at AC Milan must have thought it was a joke when Liverpool bid £16 million. Hardly excelled in his short time at Milan and to see all the Liverpool fans celebrating his arrival is comical. It seems some football fans have totally forgotten his time at Manchester City.  

Can see Liverpool becoming very frustrated with him very quickly and would not be surprised to see him gone in January. 

I will be the first to admit I was wrong if Balotelli performs well however just cannot see it happening.

The man for me who Liverpool should have got was Wilfred Bony from Swansea. He is a genuine world-class player who deserves to play at a top team and in the Champions League. He has also proved how effective he can be in the Premier League. 

2. Georgios Samaras

Now I must admit I did actually laugh out loud when I saw this transfer go through. Similar to when I saw David N'Gog sign for Swansea in January, it was just sureal.  Georgios Samaras must have one of the best agents going to get him back into the Premier League. This is a man who was a flop at Manchester City and who has not even really shone at Celtic. Now when you are playing for the best team in a Scotland league which is very poor that says it all. He will be lucky to get 2 goals all season. 

A truely awful signing who will be up front with Balotelli come May when they announce the flop XI of the season. 

3.  Rio Ferdinand

Quite honestly why Rio Ferdinand has signed for QPR I do not know. The obvious answer is money however surely the man is not that greedy? Well this is for sure his last payday so I suppose I cannot blame him. However I do feel this is an awful transfer. He looked awful last season. A man well past his best and this season he is playing in a side who will be on the back foot most weeks. It will not be like his many years at Manchester United when United had 65%+ possession everyweek and quality players ahead and around him. Last season he looked very uncomfortable doing just about anything. If you are a QPR fan you should be worried although given Ferdinand injury record I cannot see him playing 20 games. 

Expect him to be continually caught out this season - leading to his retirement at the end of it.

4.  Leonardo Ulloa

I feel that Ulloa is really going to struggle. As I said in my prediction post, his lack of pace for me is a major concern at this level. He played very well with a very average Championship side in Brighton and was a constant threat however I fear at Leicester he simply will not get the supply or chances to really show his worth. He deserves his chance at this level and of all the signings I am predicting to be misses I hope Ulloa proves me wrong. 

I honestly feel Leicester will go down however on his day Ulloa can be a real handful.  

5. Jack Rodwell

Firstly the reason why I have put Rodwell on this list is his injury record. He may claim to be fit however only time will really tell if his body can stand up to a whole season. Secondly given his woeful fitness record the fact that Sunderland have laid out £10 million is astonishing. This figure is wildly over the mark. He may prove to be a great signing in time however at this moment in time he does not demand such a fee. 

Expect an injury hit season and so a limited impact. 

Only time will tell if I have been proved right or made to eat humble pie. 

Friday 15 August 2014

Premier League Predictions



Who will be celebrating come May?

The Premier League season is now only a day away and after all of the changes this summer it looks like another fantastic season is on its way. Jose Mourinho finished trophy-less last season - surely it cannot happen two years in a row? Can Manchester City become the first team since Manchester United in the 2008/09 season to retain the title? How will Liverpool adapt without Suarez? Will Louis Van Gaal be a success? and will Arsenal finally buy a quality striker and defensive midfielder? 

The battle for the top four begins with both North-London and Merseyside clubs eyeing four spot. How will the newly promoted sides do? Who's staying up and who's going down?

Time for me to predict the season as I feel it would turn out should the current squads still be the same come September 1st.

TITLE - CHELSEA 
Personally I do feel the winner will be Chelsea. I tipped them last season but Mourinho's failure to sort out the midfield as well as the lack of a world class front man played its part.

The latter of which has now been taken care of with the arrival of Diego Costa. Now I am a huge fan of this player. I really believe he will be a hit in the Premier League. He's big, powerful and a genuine goal scorer. I honestly expect 20+ goals in the Premier League this season from him.

Costa to fire Chelsea to the title
My concern is the midfield. For me Mourinho last season put his faith in the wrong players too often. Oscar is a classic example of this. Players like Schurrle should have been in that starting team every week. I also feel Kevin De Burnye got some rough treatment as I was impressed with his performances.

Now this season Fabregas is the main man. Huge season for the former gunner. He will get plenty of game time and will be crucial if Chelsea are to regain the Premier League crown.

It is difficult to see where the weaknesses are as they seem so strong all over the field. Also unlike Manchester City I do not think their attitude and application week in week out will be an issue. 

2ND - MANCHESTER CITY 
Title holders Manchester City have kept the main bulk of the squad from last season without too many stand-out first-team additions. Caballero, Sagna and Fernando will add to the already impressive squad depth and provide further competition for the likes of Hart, Zabaleta and Fernandinho.

The main area that needed addressing was the centre of defence. City have for years been searching for someone decent to partner Kompany. Eliaquim Mangala is the latest man to try and fill this void. £32 million is a huge price tag for a defender but he comes with a very good reputation. Personally I have not seen him play so will reserve judgement at this time.

The main problem with City is as I said last year. It is the attitude of the players. I watched them last year throw away points away at sides like Aston Villa and Cardiff. Luckily for them in the end it did not matter as many of the other teams were doing the same. This year though it will cost them. Manuel Pellegrini has a job on to keep them focused week in week outOne of the problem is that the team is so strong that most weeks they know they are far superior to the opposition however this can make them lazy. Instead of getting 2/3 up they too often sit on a 1-0 lead and then end up in a needlessly precarious position towards the end of the game. Last season this cost them numerous points. If I were a fan this would frustrate me hugely.

Having said this they have a formidable front line and the ability to hit nearly any team in the league for six. 

On paper they are extremely strong and will be in and around the top 2/3 for the whole season. They will without doubt be a major threat in all competitions again this season. 

3RD- ARSENAL 
Yet again Arsene Wenger managed to get Arsenal into the top four last season despite not addressing key issues with the team. For the first half of last season Arsenal were flying. Top of the table and Aaron Ramsey could do no wrong. However as ever with Arsenal injuries to key personnel played a key role in destroying the fans dreams of a league title. Ramsey, Wilshire, Gibbs and Walcott were just some of the casualties who headed to the treatment room.

Predicting Sanchez to be a hit
They also capitulated in key games being hammered by both Chelsea and Liverpool in embarrassing circumstances. For me the same problems have persisted for years and Wenger has ignored them. Arsenal are too easily bullied by the bigger sides all over the field. This is still and problem and I expect it to happen again this season as it still has not been addressed. In midfield they have a number of fantastically skilled players but they are all very lightweight and they seem only a light tackle away from a lengthy lay off.

They still ended the season top four and with an FA Cup win much to the fans delight as it is hoped this will be the springboard for more honours to come.  Last weeks Community Shield victory against a sub-stanadrd Manchester City team should also provide them with the confidence to push on this season.

Wenger has recruited some top players this summer. Alexis Sanchez is a great player who I think will adapt to the Premier League quicker and more successfully than Mesut Ozil. Matheiu Debuchy will also add a competitive edge at right back. Personally I see this as an upgrade on Sagna. Also the signing of youngster Callum Chambers from Southampton is an interesting one. No doubt the lad has potential and I look forward to seeing him develop hopefully into a England player.

No main goalscorer and no midfield leader are the main issues for me. I am at a complete loss as to why they have not tried harder to sign Loic Remy. He would be ideal, cheap in comparison to others and would fit right into the team.

Oliver Giroud and Yaya Sanogo will not fire Arsenal to the title.


4TH - LIVERPOOL
The loss of Luis Suarez is sure to have a huge impact on Liverpool. Despite my own personal dislike of the man, his contribution in making Liverpool title contenders last season was there for all to see. Personally I do think they were right to get rid and considering his indiscretions the offer was too good to turn down. I expect a major star-studdied signing from Liverpool is the next few weeks to replace Suarez. Falcao and Balotelli have both been linked and of the two Falcao would be the preferred option. Balotelli is high risk both on and off the field. He would also not bring the consistency to make them title winners this year.

For me a striker is a must. Lambert will be useful in the squad given the number of games they will have to play this season but he is not your main man. Daniel Sturridge is far too inconsistent for me, as I have said on numerous occasions and proved at the World Cup. He will get goals again this season because he gets so many chances in the league given the quality of the midfield supplying him however in those big games, maybe even in the Champions League, I would have no faith in him burying his maybe only chance.

Brendan Rogers has brought in Lovren, which in theory will be a good signing if he can replicate his Southampton form, even if £20 million was a tad overpriced. However one signing is simply not enough in this area. For me both full-backs are weaknesses, especially Glen Johnson at right-back. This man is a liability at the top level and will cost Liverpool numerous points this season.

I think the midfield area is strong again, with the introduction of both Adam Lallana and Emre Can only improving squad depth. Raheem Stirling will be the star again and I would expect 15 league goals at least from him.

I think Liverpool will struggle with the schedule of being back in the Champions League but do still expect a top four finish.

5TH - MANCHESTER UNITED
Tough first season for LVG ahead
A new era at Manchester United has begun. New manager, new captain and maybe a new lease of life. Louis Van Gaal is in and looks like he means business. I expect a vast improvement on last season from United however if they are to finish in the top four or challenge for the title then signings are required. The current squad is not good enough for me to challenge for the title. They still lack a midfield powerhouse and defensive leaders. The back four or three depending on if he plays his favoured 3-5-2 looks weak. It is a massive season for Chris Smalling, Phil Jones and Johnny Evans. For me all three will be out the door this time next year should they fail. These are not three defenders I would trust given the performances I have seen from them. Also at full-back Luke Shaw is a great talent but is he ready? and Rafael has for me has always been a weak link/liability. I always feel the man is a red card waiting to happen. There seems far too many weaknesses in the defence and squad depth also appears an issue in this area.

Wayne Rooney has been given the armband and much is expected from him this season - they hope in leading United back to the top. He was woeful in the World Cup (as always) but expect a good season from him for United. I also expect Juan Mata to have a good year and start to stand out in United's matches.

Personally if the defensive area is not addressed LVG will not make them title contenders. They will be in a top four scrap and the weak defence means they will just miss out. 


6TH - TOTTENHAM
Last season Tottenham were a disaster. The Bale money was not used in the wisest way and the team suffered. As I predicted last season centre-back was going to be a major weakness and it was with Spurs shipping far to many goals. Defensively I still think they are weak but the signing of young Englishmen Eric Dier could improve things.  


I expect an improvement from new man Maurico Pochettino who did a great job at Southampton. It will take a while to maybe see the improvement but I expect that by the end of the season we will have seen a change in Spurs' play. Players such as Christian Erikson and forgotten man Eric Lamela will be the key to their successes this season.


Personally I can not see them getting in the top four.

7TH - EVERTON
Roberto Martinez did a great job last season and the permanent signings of Lukaku and Barry will aid their top four ambitions this season. For me they will fall short due to squad depth and like Hull City are contending with the Europa League. I expect a good season from Everton and probably a good run in the Europa League but their domestic form will suffer and end their dreams of the top four for this season at least.

I am interested to also see how Ross Barkley continues to develop and if Seamus Coleman can have another quality season.

8TH - SWANSEA
Last season the Europa League had a major affect of Swansea's season. The squad was not strong enough the deal with it. Add to this the loss of Michu and Swansea were in trouble. However in Wilfried Bony they had a top striker and one who kept them in the league. Bony was hugely impressive and it is surprising he is still at Swansea. It will be interesting to see how he gets on in his second season - will it be second season syndrome like maybe Benteke suffered from or will he go from strength to strength?

Gary Monk has recruited well with Bafetimbi Gomis looking like he is going to be a handful. Also the return of Gylfi Sigurdsson is a great signing and I expect him to return to form this season finishing the season with about 10 goals.

Good season for Swansea and I wouldn't rule out as an outsider for the FA Cup.

9TH - NEWCASTLE
Much expected of talented Cabella this season
Now where to start. Newcastle have recruited 7 players into the first team squad this summer and as a fan I am still reeling. It needed to be done however I had no faith it would be. The signings are promising with Siem De Jong and Remy Cabella the eye-catchers. 

Another one I am interested to see is young left winger Rolando Aarons. He has looked fantastic in pre-season and for a me he must be pushing starting XI.

Major concern is still the defence - and as a fan this has been the case my entire life. Also with Loic Remy gone they desperately need new boy Emmanuel Rivere is step up. The lad has looked useful in pre-season and I am hoping for good things.  Loic Remy and Yohan Cabaye contributed 20 goals last season and looking at the squad at the moment it is difficult to see them finding those goals from elsewhere. That is the big question with Newcastle, where are the goals coming from? 

I am going to be positive and hope the new players do live up to or even surpass expectations leading to a good year for Newcastle. 

Another dream in a good cup run. 

Here's hoping that Pardew can get it right and the new players settle in quickly. 

10TH - STOKE
I admit last season I got it wrong. I thought Mark Hughes would be a disaster and Stoke would go down. In fact they did extremely well finishing just inside the top half. Credit where credit is due he did a great job. This season the fans will be expecting as he has now had a year to 'change the style' as well as three transfer windows to improve the side.

The stand out capture is that of Bojan. The ex-Barcelona man is a great talent and one that many Stoke fans as well as neutrals are eager to see in the Premier League. He has been in top form in pre-season and I think could be the star of the season.

Expect Stoke to build on last season with a solid defensive record but Bojan will provide more attacking potency . 

11TH -  SOUTHAMPTON
It has been a tough summer for Saints fans having lost many of their star players. Lallana, Shaw and Lambert were all key components to their success last year and will be sorely missed. Losing your best players is bad enough but losing your manager also really is a disaster.

Ronald Koeman has come in and I think he has recruited ok. The signing of Shane Long will prove vital as this is a man who will get you 10-12 goals.

Heard plenty about Tadic and am looking forward to seeing how he fairs this season. One position that had been crying out for improvement was goalkeeper. I said it last season that the obvious target should be Fraser Forster and low and behold that's exactly who that got. He is a quality keeper and I am delighted to see him get a well deserved chance to impress in the Premier League.

Not as good as last season but a safe and solid season for Southampton.

12TH - HULL CITY
Hull have recruited well by getting Tom Ince, Harry Maguire and Robert Snodgrass. All three will add to an already solid squad. I expect them to be defensively strong again with Curtis Davies having another strong year. 

Concerning that Shane Long has been sold however expect Bruce to splash the cash. Also they have the dreaded Europa League to deal with. It deeply affected Newcastle and Swansea's seasons in recent year with both clubs ending up in relegation fights. Do Hull have the squad to deal with the extra games and the constant Thursday/Sunday schedule and have a good season ? I think no. 

But they will survive.

13TH - QUEENS PARK RANGERS


Mutch was a stand out player for Cardiff last season
Harry Redknapp has been this usual self in the transfer window trying to buy everyone specialising in those past their best and not just on the field after Glen Hoddle joined the coaching staff. Steven Caulker and Rio Ferdinand have been brought in as centre backs which on the face of it is a dream partnership -one young promising and the other with over 10 years of Premier League and International experience. Although given Ferdinand's injury record I cannot see him playing 20 games. Also looking at his performances last season you would be worried. He looked a man way past his best and struggling with almost everything. Expect him to be continually caught out this season - leading to his retirement at the end of it.

Jordan Mutch is a good signing and I think he will impress again just as he did last year with Cardiff. Loic Remy would be a huge asset should he stay and goals would guarantee survival. 

Going to take a gamble and say an up and down season but ultimately staying up as long as Loic Remy stays.

14TH - WEST BROM
Last season was a very tough one for fans of West Bromich Albion. After having a couple of stable years suddenly they were in a relegation dog-fight. The sacking of Steve Clarke for me made this worse and was a woeful decision by the board. Having somehow managed to have scrapped their way to survival this season the fans will be hoping for a more stress-free time. 

Alan Irvine's appointment was not happily received by the fans and this had added more pressure immediately before the season has even started. Jolean Lescott is a good signing and will bring experience with Craig Gardener whilst Brown Ideye is the big money goalscoring hope. 

The core of the squad with the likes of Morrison, Brunt, Dorrans, Foster, Sessegnon and youngster Berahino means they will they will be safe.

15TH - CRYSTAL PALACE
The departure of Tony Pulis is a huge blow to Palace. Before this announcement, despite having a quiet summer transfer window, I was predicting them a safe, solid season finishing 11th. However I am really not sure. The squad does not have the obvious quality to survive and without Pulis' organisation they could be in trouble. 

Fraiser Campbell will provide an added goal-threat and Brede Hangeland will aid the defence.

I am predicting they will survive but without a manger going into opening weekend it is not looking ideal for Palace.

16TH - WEST HAM
Another manager in serious trouble is Sam Alladyce. I am will amazed if he is still in charge come November 1st. West Ham have had a dire pre-season and with the news of Carroll out until Christmas as well as the off-field disagreements with the board it is not difficult to see trouble ahead. 

From what I have seen they are missing a serious goal threat and going forward they have looked very poor indeed. Having said this I am going to take a gamble on Valencia being a hit and helping the hammers to survival - but only just.

17TH - SUNDERLAND
Like for all the sides who I am predicting will be down the bottom the problem is goals. Sunderland are another team who are desperately weak in this area. Now that Poyet has had more time I am sure Sunderland will have more possession however they will have no cutting-edge. This is exactly what he did with Brighton. They played lovely possession football however could not put teams away on a regular basis. I expect a very similar incidence here although unlike the championship they will be punished for this more regularly. 

Borini would be a good signing could they pull it off but he is not the goalscorer they need. Jack Rodwell is another interesting signing but how many games will he play?

Expect many low-scoring games involving Sunderland this season with Sunderland being right at the bottom of the goal-scored chart. 

18TH - LEICESTER CITY
Will Ulloa be a hit in the Premier League?
New boys Leicester like Burnley have not strengthened the squad to what would be perceived as a Premier League standard squad. The addition of Ulloa from Brighton is a gamble given the price tag - £8 million - for a player with only a Championship goal-scoring record. Although he throughly deserves his chance in the top flight. However his lack of pace is a problem in the top league. If Leicester decide to play one up I think Ulloa will really struggle but with a partner I can see him getting 10 goals this season.

I cannot see Leicester having enough to survive. 

Nigel Pearson is another one like Sam Alladyce and Paul Lambert who I think will be sacked before November 1st.

19TH - ASTON VILLA
Surely the time has come for Aston Villa. They have been flirting with relegation for the last few years and as the season approaches they are looking just as vulnerable again this season. Paul Lambert is certainly on borrowed time and personally can not see in still being in charge come November 1st. Roy Keane will likely take over however the squad is poor. I can foresee Villa again being on the end of some hammering this season. 

Another relegation scrap looms but this time they will fall short - Villa fans must be worried. 

20TH - BURNLEY 
It is a very easy to write off Burnley this season. They are thought of as almost certainties to be relegated however after what happened with Crystal Palace last season you never know. Although as of this moment in time looking at the squad, with very few new additions, they do not look as if they have the quality to stay in the division.

Danny Ings is the star man but how many chances will he get? 

Thursday 12 June 2014

World Cup Predictions

We have waited four years but finally the World Cup is upon us. I am personally extremely excited and am expected some fantastic football.  A return to three games a day on the television is a treat for any football fan.

Now is the time I will make my predictions (which will likely all be wrong).


WINNER: Germany
I am going to be extremely bold and suggest that a non-South American side will take the title. It has never been done before when the tournament has been held on South American soil. However I feel the Germans have the quality to do it. It is always a solid bet the Germans will be involved come the latter stages of any international tournament no matter which players are picked. So given the quality of this side they are very much title contenders.

RUNNER UP: Argentina
Lionel Messi is yet to have a strong World Cup however this could be the one. On South American soil I think Messi will shine in a side which has a frighteningly good attack. Defensively they are weak however looking at the draw I can see them reaching the semi-finals before coming up against a side good enough to trouble them.

ENGLAND : Quarter Final
With England I honestly do think it will be very tough to get out of the group. However I am feeling optimist at the moment and will predict the QF. I personally just hope Hodgson plays the men in form. Stirling, Barkley and Lallana must play for me. If fit , Oxlade-Chmberlain must play a part. I hope we go out with intent and not to defend and that we do not see the likes of Welbeck and Milner starting games.

I also hope Rooney is dropped. I know full well he will play against Italy but he does not deserve to. Expect him to be subbed having made zero impact as usual. With the other players we have at our disposal he does not merit his place.

SURPRISE: CHILE
I am a huge fan of Chile. The way they took England apart at Wembley with their pace was very impressive. They have the attributes to do very well in the tournament. First shock will be them beating the Netherlands and qualifying from the group at their expense.

Would like to see them take on Brazil in the last 16. Would be a cracker.


DISAPPOINTMENT: IVORY COAST
Ivory Coast have long been the supposed best side in Africa. The talent they have at their disposal is remarkable and yet they never seem to turn up at the big events. I expect this to be no different. In the last World Cup they were handed a tough group however this time is a far easier. This will only make their failure to get out of the group even worse.

Yaya Toure will need to be at his best driving on his side from midfield if they are to have any hope.

I expect Colombia and Japan to progress from group C.

To be honest I do not hold out any hope for the African sides as feel all 5 will fail to get out of their respective groups. For me they are very very weak.

TOP SCORER: MIROSLAV KLOSE
This one is a massive outsider (50/1) however I think that Germany will have a strong tournament and Klose will get game time. There is no doubt that this man is a great finisher and has a terrific international record. I am certain he will break Ronaldo's World Cup record and can see him finishing this tournament with 5/6 goals and that could be enough.

HOPE: FOOTBALL REMEMBERED NOT REFEREE DECISIONS
This year in the Premier League we have had some awful calls by referees. I hope and pray that this is not the case at the World Cup. Thankfully goal-line technology is now available so at least that should not be an issue. There will undoubtedly be plenty of diving and play-acting which is never good to see but I hope the referees do not fall for it. Also I do not agree with the idea of we must have referees from all over the world. Its quality that matters.

Above all else I hope to see consistency on decisions however I think the tournament will just highlight again the need for video technology in football which for me can not come soon enough. 

Monday 24 March 2014

Marriner Blunder Reignites Calls for Technology

I have for many years be advocating the use of technology in football. In fact one of my very first articles was on this exact issue. For me it is a no-brainer, technology should be used just as it is in other sports.

I first saw technology used in Rugby League over 15 years ago. Even then I could not understand why it was not used in football. Since then so many other sports have adopted technology to help with decisions. It has changed certain sports forever. For example look at Tennis, the days of a players acting like John McEnroe and ranting about line-calls are largely gone. The players are left in no doubt to if the correct decision was made.

When you consider the money involved in todays game and the hours and hours of media coverage and scrutiny of every match it is laughable that the sport does not use technology. We have so many cameras at every game and yet the people who really need them do not have access to them. Surely this is not right. What is it about the governing bodies that makes them so arrogant as to think we do not need it?

Finally this year goal-line technology has come into effect in the Premier League and it has shown just how easy it is use. Even though this issue rarely appears in matches, when it has been needed it has produced the goods everytime. To think of all the players, managers and fans anger that has been saved by the introduction of such a simple tool, which we should have had 10 years ago. No longer have we discussed controversial goal-line calls or spend hours discussing them on sports programmes such as Radio 5 Live's 606 or Match Of the Day.

The time argument is one that annoys me greatly as it is simply not true. The amount of time that is wasted by players arguing or harassing the referee could be used to get the right result. Also I would rather it took an extra 30 seconds and the right decision was made than a snapshot instant mistake.

How long would it have taken for Kieron Gibbs' red-card to be checked? 5 seconds? Literally one replay and it would have been sorted as many other decisions would be.

Now I am not defending Andre Marriner as his mistake is inexcusable. He will be suspended for at least a few games I imagine, if not relegated to lower league matches. I also think the roles of the linesman should be questioned as surely he saw it was not Gibbs who handled the ball? Having said this I just think that if the fourth official or someone upstairs away from the action could have taken a quick look at it again and contacted him the issue would have been resolved before Gibbs even got off the pitch.

I think England and the Premier League should lead the way and start using it. If we wait for UEFA/FIFA you could be waiting a very long time. As seen with their waste of time introduction of extra officials in European matches, who I am yet to see make a decision.

The job of the referee is very tough and even when viewing a match on the television you regularly need to see replays to conclude a decision. Why shouldn't he have the best possible view to make a decision?

I am not saying you should stop the game every minute to check every decision but major decisions should be assessed. One of which is a straight red card and the other is a penalty. Both of these are crucial decisions that alter games hugely. An example was in last night El Clasico. The Real Madrid penalty never should have been. If the ref had blown for a foul, then very quickly asked via his radio mic "inside or not" it would have taken what 5 seconds to see it was outside. Again one replay was all that would have been necessary. By doing so the players cannot argue as they have no grounds. If that decision had decided the game it would have been a 'controversial' talking point and one which would have been resented by Barcelona fans and players.

A further point is that referees could also not be so easily intimidated as they could pass it upstairs if in doubt.  For me we should be looking at getting referees out of the spotlight and back-pages and talking about the game. Their present for me is far too much. Too often Phil Dowd, Howard Webb, Martin Atkinson, Andre Marriner or Mike Dean are hitting the headlines for deciding games with rash/incorrect decisions.

At the end of the day for me video technology equals justice and for those that want a fair game with the correct decisions, whether that means you team winning or losing, it is a necessity. For me the real sadness is that despite it having been so obvious for so long we still wait. 

Friday 21 March 2014

Champions League Delivers Exciting Draw

An all Spanish affair, a repeat of last years semi-final, a battle of the billionaires and a rivalry rekindled. 

The quarter final draw of the Champions League has certainly provided some pulsating match-ups. 

Holders and favourites for the competition Bayern Munich will face Manchester United. A draw which the German side will certainly be happy with.

Real Madrid will play Borussia Dortmund in a repeat of last years semi final. Chelsea will face Paris Saint Germain while Barcelona take on Atletico Madrid.


The first legs will be played on 1-2 April, with the return matches on 8-9 April.


The Champions League quarter final draw was always going to be very interesting given the quality of the sides left....... and Manchester United. It is amazing to think that Manchester United are the weakest side in the draw and the one many of the teams would have liked to face.


Manchester United v Bayern Munich 

Moyes reaction the news
For many this will be the most predictable of the ties. Bayern Munich are 23 points ahead in the Bundesliga, unbeaten in 50 league games and heralded by many as the best team in Europe. A side that has shown its class already beating both Arsenal and Manchester City and have set their sights in being the first club to retain the Champions League.

This is the task facing a Manchester United side who have endured a very poor season by their standards. For the first time in my lifetime they are not even in the Premier League title race and are looking a certainty to finish outside the top 3 for the first time in Premier League history. It will be their lowest finish since finishing 6th in the 1990-1991 season.  Add to this disappointing exits from both of the domestic cups and it is easy to see why the pressure has been mounting in new man David Moyes.

The only real success for Moyes, if you can call it that, is this Champions League run. I know the opposition have not been the sternest but they have got to the quarter finals. However they now face arguably the strongest and most in-form side in European if not World football. It is therefore no surprise that the bookmakers make Pep Guardiola's Bayern 1/4 to go through.

When you look at the sides it is difficult to see how you can compare the two midfields. United has Fellani, Cleverely and Carrick while Bayern has the likes of Martinez, Schweinsteiger, Kroos, Gotze and Thiago. To think United have a chance would appear on paper as laughable. Wednesday night showed everything you need to know when the great 40-year old Ryan Giggs not only plays but runs the show for United. As great a player as Giggs is, of that there is no question, United should not still be relying on him. Giggs will undoubtedly play in this tie however how effective he can be is another issue. It is difficult to see United even having the ball, let alone being able to actually cause Bayern any serious trouble. There is just too many weaknesses in the United side. How Sir Alex Ferguson Ferguson managed to win titles without seriously addressing this issue is incredible.

Robben must be looking forward to this one
The central midfield is the stand out area of difference however to be honest Bayern are stronger nearly all over the field. The attacking presence of Ribery, Robben and Muller just adds to the already stellar cast. Add to this United's defensive troubles of players well past their best in Evra, Ferdinand and Vidic  combined with liabilities likes Rafael and Bayern are laughing. Players like Evans, Smalling, Buttner and Jones to me still have plenty to prove they are of sufficient quality to play at this level.

But there is always hope, their close encounters from the past will be mentioned in the build up but unfortunately at present , very much like AC Milan, Manchester United are now just a name. To have a chance the United players are going roll back the years in the case of Vidic and Ferdinand or have the game of their lives. Up front there will be huge pressure on Wayne Rooney as the injury to Robin Van Persie just compounds United's troubles.

My prediction would be a very comfortable win for Bayern in both legs. I can already see the headlines now of 'a lesson being taught' , 'outclassed', 'embarrassed' and the classic comments of the worsening standard of Premier League sides. I would like to think United will play well above what we have seen this season as I always like to see English sides perform well however  I just cannot see them being able to. Sadly they are just not good enough.

Chelsea v Paris Saint Germain 

This match is exceptionally hard to call. Chelsea are slight favourite to progress due to them being at home in the second leg.

Mourinho looking forward to another big european night
Both sides are well known for their billionaire owners and both sides do possess world stars. The stand out player is of course the ever shy and modest Swedish star, Zlatan Ibrahimovic. A man who relishes the big occasions and is the obvious danger man for PSG. The rest of the side boosts huge talent in players like Tiago Silva, Verratti , Cavani, Motta, Lucas Moura and Lavezzi. They are the new team on the block in European football and are only getting stronger with every pasting year.

Having said that if there is one side who could stop anyone it is Chelsea and Jose Mourinho. A man similar to Ibrahimovic in his modesty and shyness. Jose Mourinho is never happier when being the underdog. Either with Porto back in 2003 or Inter Milan in 2010 he loves taking on the big European football powerhouses and causing a shock. Similar to the Premier League title race he will make out Chelsea are huge underdogs however in reality they are not. They have a very good chance of progression and he knows that.

His tactics have had plenty of criticism however he is a winner and will do what it takes to win. For me the key will be the team selection. I think he will go with the men he can trust. Terry and Lampard for sure will play. Eto'o will start up top and Hazard and Schurrle.

It promises to be a fascinating match and would not be surprised to see tempers flare up.

My prediction is that Chelsea will squeeze through. It will not be pretty but it will get the job done.


Barcelona v Atletico Madrid

Messi still the key man for Barcalona
For me Atletico Madrid have been a treat to watch this season. When you watch them it is how every fan wants to see his team. They play with real pace, commitment and quality. They are undoubtedly my outside best to win this tournament. I find it amazing that they are currently 20/1. I know they may lack the experience of this competition but they have a real chance. You can probably guess from that that I am strongly tipping Atletico for this one.

Barcelona are not the team of a few years ago and I think they are vunerable. In Messi they have an incredible talent and one that not only strikes fear into the opposition but provides belief and confidence to his own side. You see this in La Liga, when Messi does not play despite if they win or lose they are not the same side even for all their talents. They are still a top European side, I just have the feeling they are their for the taking. Bayern proved that last year and for me Barcelona have still not addressed the fundamental problem of the centre of defence.

Star Striker Costa has had a great season far 
For Atletico, Diego Costa, Turan and Koke have all impressed immensely this year and when you add a talent like David Villa into the mix they are an incredible exciting side. For me they will come through the tie and 'shock' people. They are second in La Liga, while Barcelona are third, and throughly deserve to be there. The bookies have Barcelona at 2/5 to go through, while price Athletico at 2/1.

Personally this is the tie I am most excited to watch.



Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund

This one is a repeat of last years semi-final of which Borussia Dortmund came through victorious. Having said that, I cannot see them repeating the feat this year.

Bale and Ronaldo both in fine form
Real Madrid are looking incredibly strong this season. Cristiano Ronaldo and Gareth Bale as part of a front three with Benzema is frighteningly good as they proved against Schalke. Ronaldo is have another wonderful season and deservedly picked up the World Player of the Year award. Bale moved to Real Madrid last sumer for a huge world record price and many doubted the value of the deal, they are not now. The comments at the time of him 'not being ready' are laughable. He was clearly ready. He is without doubt a world star who for me is only getting better.

While Madrid look stronger, Dortmund look weaker. The loss of Gotze was a hammer blow and despite still being a top European side who should not be underestimated I just think Real Madrid will have too much for them. Lewandowski will be the key man and he will need to be as clinical as he was last year to give them a chance. They also have many injuries which will not help the cause.

Bookies place Real Madrid at 2/9 while Dortmund at 3/1 to qualify.

My prediction is for Real Madrid to get though this one.

Personally I cannot wait for these matches to begin. This is without doubt the most exciting quarter final draw for years.